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Posted on Sat, Feb 27, 2010 : 10:14 a.m.

Ads help Rick Snyder in Michigan governor's race; Andy Dillon leads Dems

By AnnArbor.com Staff

Republican Rick Snyder's "one tough nerd" campaign ads have given him a substantial boost in the Michigan governor's race.

The Ann Arbor venture capitalist was down in single digits in earlier polls conducted by Lansing-based EPIC-MRA. But in a new EPIC-MRA poll released Friday, Snyder comes in third behind U.S. Rep. Pete Hoekstra and Attorney General Mike Cox among 400 likely GOP primary voters, with Hoekstra at 27 percent, Cox at 21 percent and Snyder at 12 percent.

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Rick Snyder

Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard gets 10 percent and state Sen. Tom George 1 percent, with 26 percent undecided.

When voters are given brief descriptions of the Republican candidates, Snyder moves into second place, with Hoekstra at 29 percent and Snyder at 22 percent. Cox is then at 18 percent, Bouchard at 11 percent and George at 5 percent, with 15 percent undecided.

House Speaker Andy Dillon leads the field among 400 likely Democratic primary voters at 17 percent. Former Genesee County Treasurer Dan Kildee gets 12 percent, Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero 8 percent and state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith, 7 percent. Nearly half — 45 percent — are undecided.

Once 400 likely Democratic primary voters are given candidate descriptions, Dillon moves up to 24 percent and Smith and Kildee each get 14 percent, with Bernero at 13 percent and 24 percent undecided.

The poll was conducted Monday through Thursday for the Detroit Free Press and TV stations WXYZ of Detroit, WOOD in Grand Rapids, WILX in Lansing and WJRT in Flint.

It surveyed 600 people statewide and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The questions on gubernatorial candidates that surveyed likely primary voters had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

Snyder has poured at least $2.6 million of his own money into the race, enabling him to run a 60-second ad statewide on Super Bowl Sunday and a shorter ad that he began running this week.

He's the only candidate in either party to run ads, and has started airing them far earlier than candidates traditionally do in Michigan gubernatorial races.

The strategy was intended to increase the number of voters who recognize Snyder's name and have a favorable opinion of him, and poll results show it's working. Although only four in 10 likely voters recognize his name in the latest poll, that's twice as many as in late January. Snyder had been polling at 3 percent and now has moved into double digits.

The latest poll shows Cox has the highest name recognition in the race, with Bouchard not far behind. But voters appear to be shifting away from Cox to Snyder and Hoekstra, a congressman from Holland. Bouchard also has slipped slightly in the past month.

Comments

snapshot

Sun, Feb 28, 2010 : 8:03 p.m.

Michigan needs to reinvent itself and become more business minded. That won't happen voting for anyone already holding an office because career politicians helped to create the problem. We need fresh ideas like Rick Snyder has to offer, not hollow Rhetoric from the old guard talking about how much we need their "experience". My experience is you don't encourage failure with election to office. In with the new, out with the old. Let's flex our political muscle for a CHANGE!

ron

Sun, Feb 28, 2010 : 4:22 p.m.

Higher taxes of any kind will not help our state - lower the cost of entitlements and cut taxes for small business.

mobrightAA

Sun, Feb 28, 2010 : 8:23 a.m.

We need to shift the power base from metro-D to either AA (Snyder) or West Michigan (Hoekstra)... those areas are thriving in our state. Dillon is the same old, same old... just like his hairstyle. Do we really want Squiqie running the state?

Ram

Sun, Feb 28, 2010 : 12:30 a.m.

I would encourage everyone here to take a quick look at Rick's website, especially the 10 focus areas he has designated for his campaign. For those who have more time on their hands, I would suggest looking at the policy papers on his website.

ypsinational

Sat, Feb 27, 2010 : 11:44 p.m.

Hard to believe the 'one tough nerd' ads are helping Snyder garner support. You can tell he's a nerd by the way he talks of being a nerd. I hope he didn't spend much $ on his creative campaign team. Probably his team of nerds ready to take over Lansing... yippee!

stunhsif

Sat, Feb 27, 2010 : 11:16 p.m.

@Rick, Go dude go, you've got my vote!!!!