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Posted on Mon, Mar 29, 2010 : 5:24 p.m.

Five reasons Manny Harris is making a good decision - and 5 reasons it's a bad move

By Michael Rothstein

Manny Harris officially announced he's leaving the Michigan basketball team for the pros on Monday, choosing to eventually sign with an agent and end his amateur status.

The decision, though, isn't an obvious one like the pending ones to be made by sure-fire lottery picks John Wall of Kentucky and Evan Turner of Ohio State.

Five reasons Manny Harris is making a good decision:

Thumbnail image for Manny-Harris-021210.jpg

Michigan guard Manny Harris said Monday he's leaving to play professional basketball. A good move? It depends on how you look at it. (File photo)

1)His stock isn’t likely to change. Most players - at least ones who have been in the public eye as much as Harris has the past three seasons - don’t improve their stock much their fourth year. It just gives scouts another year to pick apart his game. Much of the NBA Draft is about potential and not production.

2) Michigan doesn’t seem like it’ll be better next year. Even if Harris stayed, the loss of DeShawn Sims and Zack Gibson depleted the Wolverines’ size. He’d be playing on a team where every night, he’d face double teams and with no one in the middle to make teams pay. It’d be a long year for Harris.

3) Team chemistry. There always seemed to be something off with this team - and too often Michigan appeared Harris-reliant to do, well, much of anything. Michigan often looked like it was standing around waiting for him to do something. If he were back again, it’d likely be much of the same without Sims to keep things in check.

4) He will make money. There’s no question Harris will be paid to play basketball next year - and likely for the next decade at least. So why not start getting paid now? Harris said he’ll come back to get his degree and that can happen in the off-season if he ends up in Europe. Making money is what college is about anyway - besides the education, of course.

5) It’s his dream. Most people in life struggle to reach their childhood dreams - or have them forcibly shifted along the way. Harris has a chance to fulfill his before he turns 21. Pretty much anyone would take that deal. Plus, he said he’s willing to go to Europe or the D-League to make it happen. Having that reality going in is a help.

Five reasons Manny Harris is making a bad decision: 1)Guaranteed money is not guaranteed. In order for Harris to receive guaranteed money in the NBA, he needs to be a first-round pick. Chances of Harris sliding into the first round are, as of now, small. That could change if he has phenomenal workouts - it has happened before.

2) A degree is good. Harris said Monday he’ll come back to complete the coursework requirements to achieve his college degree. But many times, college players who leave early for pro aspirations don’t finish their degree for years or not at all. That piece of paper is important.

3) He’s not NBA ready. Harris has holes in his game. He doesn’t go to his left often enough. His shooting - hamstring-hampered or not - is not strong enough yet to play the 2 in the league. Harris also needs to bulk up a bit. An 82-game season can grind on players. Injuries happen and with Harris’ game, if he were to make the league, he’d be beaten up a bit.

4) Once you go pro, you can’t go back. Every year, players make mistakes in declaring early. The one odd thing that stood out was Harris’ insistence on signing with an agent instead of going through the process to at least get some evaluations before making such a final decision. Going pro isn’t the problem. Not taking advantage of a window to make sure it is the correct decision could be an issue.

5) The D-League isn't fun. If you want to go back to playing AAU ball, where everyone is out for themselves, the NBA's D-League is for you. Should Harris not make a NBA squad, he'll likely find himself in Europe of the D-League, which travels to mid-sized towns on a limited budget. It isn't the lifestyle of an NBA player - not even close. But the talent level is better, which could help with improvement. He'd just do it in Erie, Pa., or Fort Wayne, Ind., or Springfield, Mass., instead of Ann Arbor.

Michael Rothstein covers University of Michigan basketball for AnnArbor.com. He can be reached at (734) 623-2558, by e-mail at michaelrothstein@annarbor.com or follow along on Twitter @mikerothstein.

Comments

Paul Fournier

Wed, Mar 31, 2010 : 8:20 a.m.

The biggest part of the decision for Manny was the fact it was a dream of his to play in the NBA. Ask yourself how many dreams have your fulfilled in your life. I am sure Manny has weight the good and the bad. He can alway's come back to Michigan and get his degree if he wants to. I've never heard of anybody being told they can't do that.

aarox

Tue, Mar 30, 2010 : 10:25 p.m.

Workouts is one part of the evaluation and he will do well I predict. The wildcard for Manny is that the NBA teams didn't get to see how he works on a competent team. This will add risk in their eyes, which drives his draft pick down. Even so, and sadly, he is probably worth more today than if he was playing his senior year with us. nbadraft.net has him going 43rd in the draft. Interestingly they have him going to Minnesota, along with Evan Turner, picked to be drafted 2nd. What fun to watch OSU and UM working together in Minnesota!

chosen1

Tue, Mar 30, 2010 : 10:04 a.m.

mcflies, can u read? He clearly states why he feels Manny's stock can't get any higher. Manny knows already what GMs think of him from last summer where they loved him. They will pay more attention to his workouts and will see that his play was affected greatly by receiving the ball with 3 seconds on the shot clock. The system caused Manny to regress. We saw in the big 10 tourney that Manny can still be dominant and clutch. Now we will have to see him do it elsewhere.

mlivesaline

Tue, Mar 30, 2010 : 8:05 a.m.

This Michigan team was bad this year and will be awful next year. Sorry Coach Beilein but you can't recruit. The fact this team has no size yet is unimaginable. Note to self, need to recruit non-indiana guys who are bigger than 6-5. In watching the tournament there are a hundred guys who are big and can play. There are a hundred guys who can shoot better than who we have. I am sick of this Michigan basketball team being bad year after year after year.

mlivesaline

Tue, Mar 30, 2010 : 8:04 a.m.

This Michigan team was bad this year and will be awful next year. Sorry Coach Beilein but you can't recruit. The fact this team has no size yet is unimaginable. Note to self, need to recruit non-indiana guys who are bigger than 6-5. In watching the tournament there are a hundred guys who are big and can play. There are a hundred guys who can shoot better than who we have. I am sick of this Michigan basketball team being bad year after year after year.

mcflies

Tue, Mar 30, 2010 : 3:20 a.m.

i love the marcus taylor comparison. he was actually drafted 56th i believe. manny has no guarantee whatsoever at guaranteed money. how can you say his draft stock won't raise if he returns? it would have to. heck durell summers has higher stock than harris right now. both would have a lot to gain in their senior years imo.

saginaw

Mon, Mar 29, 2010 : 9:39 p.m.

Does anyone remember Marcus Taylor? As a sophmore, he lead the Big Ten in both scoring and assists. I think that he was drafted #42. The rest is a sad story. He also destroyed MSU's chances for a great team for a couple of years. Poor Izzo had no point guard.

voiceofreason

Mon, Mar 29, 2010 : 6:17 p.m.

I actually think Manny has better NBA chances than most people are giving him credit for. He was going to go pro last year, and Beilein talked him out of it. He was going to leave after this year regardless.

Jaxon5

Mon, Mar 29, 2010 : 5:37 p.m.

I'll make a comment that is on topic. Great summary by Michael Rothstein with detail to back up the opposing ideas. In the end, whether the decision is good or bad, it's up to Manny Harris to judge.